Cesc ventures, an interesting holding company.
Article published as on Saturday, 21st
April, 2020 at 10:30 a.m.
Cesc ventures came to be known in its form after the demerger of
CESC (Calcutta Electric Supply Corporation , record date 31/10/2018) into Cesc, Spencer retail and Cesc
ventures.
It got listed around 600 INR. And went further down now towards
150 INR.
Before starting fundamental analysis, let’s first find out what
went wrong? Why it fell from 600 INR to 150 INR.
After doing my research I found something interesting.
As Cesc was a large cap category company, mutual funds were
holding more than 20% stake in the company.
After demerger when Cesc ventures was listed it was categorised
into small cap company.
Due to this very reason many mutual fund offloaded shares of Cesc
ventures in order to comply with SEBI guidelines of fund categorisation.
So this thing makes it clear that there was no management or
corporate governance issue in this company and due to SEBI laws, mutual fund
had to sell shares and this caused a downside from 600 to 150.
Now as we understood why the share price tumbled one thing is
clear mutual funds had to sell to comply with the rules, let’s focus on Fundamental analysis:
Share price 150 INR (approx. as on 18/4/20)
Market cap 397.67 crores
Cesc ventures is from RP-Sanjiv Goenka group, a reputed group.
From the interviews Sanjiv goenka he looks quite an aggressive
businessman, in the interviews we also come to know that they have hired
professionals to run each business, which is another encouraging point.
Cesc ventures caters to IT requirements of power business of Cesc
ltd .
They provide services such as
Billing service, customer relationship service, new connection
system, engineering asset management, treasury management system and
performance management system.
They earned ( figures in INR crores)
EBITDA. 74
PAT. 66
Through their own IT business.
Cesc ventures is investing in many start-ups which can deliver
high growth in value in future.
We will talk about such start-ups and its investment, going
forward.
Here is a graphical representation
First source solution - it is among
top 3 pure play BPO in India. It is planning to venture into new segments like
digital and automation.
Let’s start with its stake in first source solution
54.5% stake in first source solution @ 39 INR per share translates
to the value of holding value of 1480 crores.
Now the interesting thing is that on 28th February it received 97
crores of rupees as dividend from first source solution.
Only taking Cesc ventures as proxy play to first source solution
makes a holding company discount of 72.5%
This helps making Cesc ventures very defensive.
Moving to
its FMCG business.
BEST
thing is that they are expanding by not taking debt, but organically this is
all possible due to their cash generation from other business and dividends
from first source.
Why this
segment excites me is because Sanjiv Goenka spoke about vision of 10,000 crores
of revenue from FMCG in 5 years.
Let’s
learn about too yum- it is a brand owned by Guiltfree industries started in
April 2017. And has been estimated to grow 600 crore turnover company in
FY2019-20
(Actual
figures may vary from these estimates)
What is
exciting is that the professional management team has managed such a run rate
in just 3 years. Having brand ambassador such as Virat Kohli who strictly
promotes healthy snacking.
They have
said to breakeven in this business around June 2020. Which is a positive sign
and we may see positive EBITDA from FY21 onwards.
Looking
at confidence of management and their style of expanding without taking debt is
very fascinating.
(anyone who has tasted too yum products will surely agree that they produce some of the best and unique flavors in packaged snacking)
They also own 70% in apricot foods pvt ltd which is a regional player in
the state of Gujarat, they can leverage this business also going forward.
Coming to another important business
Located at a prime location of Kolkata, they have more than 4,15,000 sq.
ft of retail area. And capacity of 900+
car parking.
They collect rentals by leasing premises.
EBITDA 55 crores.
PAT 20 crores.
They also have residency projects going on at Haldia.
Apart from that they also own some land bank at BKC in Mumbai.
(need to do some research on this part)
Now Quick Service
Restaurants. (QSR’s)
They own QSR through Bowlopedia restaurants India ltd
Cesc ventures owns QSR like
Waffle wallah and Bombay toastee.
These are currently into losses right now, they may take time to
be profitable.
Lastly these are various
investments by Cesc ventures through RPSG ventures.
(They have minority stake from 8%-40%)
Herbolab India- having 64.63 %
stake Manufacture and sale of Ayurvedic proprietary medicines under the
brand name of “Dr. Vaidya’s” has 100+ ministry of AYUSH (FDA) formulations for
medicines/products.
ShopG - Operates a Social
commerce platform focused on providing discounted deals to
customers for FMCG products, led by influencers
M caffeine- Offers Caffeine
infused personal care products selling through own website and
online marketplace
The souled store -Designs,
manufactures and sells licensed fan merchandise across
several product categories (T-shirts, jackets, accessories,
phone covers etc.
Peel-Works Private Limited -
('Peel-Works') is a technology driven Distribution Company which supplies
goods (food, grocery and consumer products) to retailers and
wholesalers where orders are collected through a software application.
These are very exciting investments made by Cesc ventures. They
are in initial phase of growth but may grow big in future. Here Cesc ventures
are trying to be venture capitalist.
Conclusion:
· Main focus for me
is that they are into fast growing FMCG
business with huge visions.
· Professional
management, and their ability to build Too YUM a 600 crore brand in just a span
of 3 year. And still have huge plans for its growth
·
(disclaimer- one should do his/her own research before taking any call)
To
counter their aggressive style, we also have holdings of first source solution
which is defensive and provides comfort.
· It
is trading at huge discount of 72.5% from its holding value in first source
solution
· It has
investment in various high growth start-ups, for which we have to trust the
judgement of the management.
(click here for the link of
December 2019 presentation)
(disclaimer- one should do his/her own research before taking any call)
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